回复帖子
标题: 美方在推出500亿美元征税清单之后,又威胁将制定2000亿美元征税清单
  本主题由 vip 于 2018-6-19 13:18 设置高亮 
supersiguo
中级会员
Rank: 3Rank: 3



UID 2991933
积分 1152
帖子 31
阅读权限 40
注册 2018-2-17
状态 离线
感觉特朗普就是一只疯狗

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
華灯初上、 (广州专业海运空运出口)
福步货代
Rank: 4
专业解决出口各种难题


UID 3022288
积分 2687
帖子 658
阅读权限 80
注册 2018-5-7
来自 广东
状态 离线
将被中国记录下史册,让美国臭名流慌百世

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
vip
管理员
Rank: 9Rank: 9Rank: 9


UID 2
精华 15
积分 914098
帖子 61499
福步币 12898 块
阅读权限 200
注册 2003-12-4
状态 离线
原标题:“贸易恐怖主义”救不了美国

就像一头遭到强硬回击的公牛,美国特朗普政府现在真是急红了眼,竟于6月18日夜又发表声明,在此前公布的500亿美元征税清单基础上,威胁再对价值2000亿美元的中国产品加征10%关税,以报复中国“无意改变与收购美国知识产权和技术有关的不公平做法”。

对此,中国商务部发表谈话,批评美方这种“极限施压和讹诈的做法,背离双方多次磋商共识,也令国际社会十分失望。如果美方失去理性、出台清单,中方将不得不采取数量型与质量型相结合的综合措施,做出强有力反制。”

从500亿至2000亿,再到白宫声明里所谓“如果中国再次提高关税,美将再对另外2000亿美元货物加征关税”的扬言,算下来,美方迄今发出的威胁加征关税的中国商品总额已高达4500亿美元。而据中国海关总署统计,2017年中国对美国出口货物为4298亿美元。这就意味着:如果美方清单落实,美国市场要对所有中国商品关上大门。确实失去理性、近乎疯狂!

全球化发展到今天,任何一个懂得市场规律、明了世界大势的大国领导人,都不可能做出对中国这个全球第二大经济体关上大门的荒唐行为,更何况在商海沉浮数十年、深懂“交易艺术”的特朗普总统。所以,在白宫貌似失去理性的声明背后,其实是遭到中方强硬反击后的恼羞成怒、面对美国股市因贸易战下跌的恐慌、备战中期选举的焦虑,以及无法啃下中国“硬骨头”而难以推进全球贸易战的气急败坏。所以,玩弄不断加码的数字游戏,继续向中方极限施压,以示强来博取选票,就成为特朗普无奈而又必然的选择。

但是,这种基于一己之私、将中美民众乃至全球民众的利益玩弄于股掌之间的做法,令国际社会进一步看清:美国所追求的并不是仅仅实现“贸易平衡”,而是用贸易关税这根大棒来当开路先锋,维护美国在政治、经济、军事、科技等方面的绝对霸主地位,为此不惜冒天下之大不韪,以一对多,单挑全球。这种“宁可我负天下人,不可天下人负我”的霸主心态,这种重创全世界自由贸易、经济全球化、多边贸易体制和全球产业链的做法,不正是赤裸裸的“贸易恐怖主义”?!

但是,这一做法解决不了美国的问题,也救不了“正在走向衰败的美利坚”。正如曾提出“历史终结论”的弗朗西斯·福山近年来所反思的,美国政治制度日益失灵,利益集团和话语权过度,而大多数民众的利益与意志没有得到维护和体现。摩根大通CEO戴蒙也指出,美国近年来的经济增长放缓表明“有些事情不对劲,它让美国倒退”。不少分析家认为,美国经济虽然短期内表现向好,但是经济长期放缓的趋势并未改变,政治家们如果无法解决美国经济的结构性问题,因2008年次货危机引发的资产价格上涨、收入差距空前加大等暗藏的风险点随时可能会引爆。


“贸易恐怖主义”救不了美国,但是它对经济全球化、多边贸易体制和全球产业链的伤害是严重的。所以,中国从一开始就亮明态度,要“坚决捍卫国家利益和人民利益、坚决捍卫经济全球化和多边贸易体制”。面对急红了眼的特朗普政府,中方仍会以不变应善变。而且,中方的迎击是一种综合性战术,既讲究数量,也就是反制的美国商品价值数额,也讲究质量,重视打击的效果,要让“贸易恐怖主义”制造者感觉到痛,感觉到怕!

还要看到,在美方这场精心策划、蓄谋已久的贸易大战中,中方是其碰到的第一个强硬对手。如果中方退让,那么接下来,美国的其他贸易伙伴恐怕都无一幸免。值得庆幸的是,越来越多的国家已看清美国“贸易恐怖主义“的本质与用心,就连美国在亚洲的铁杆盟友日本首相安倍晋三也表示“难以理解,不可接受”,并要求美方采取的贸易措施必须符合世贸组织规定。眼下,面对美国近乎疯狂的举动,国际社会必须尽快携起手来,共同抵制,以毫不退让的表态与举措,共同打赢这场贸易领域的“反恐之战“!(国际锐评评论员盛玉红)

http://news.ifeng.com/a/20180620/58801855_0.shtml

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
vip
管理员
Rank: 9Rank: 9Rank: 9


UID 2
精华 15
积分 914098
帖子 61499
福步币 12898 块
阅读权限 200
注册 2003-12-4
状态 离线
老外的文章引用了孙子兵法,同时提到了美国在制定加税清单时候的雷区,怕触发美国消费者的不满,知己知彼,百战百胜,建议外贸人看看

“A wise general makes a point of foraging on the enemy,” according to the Chinese general Sun Tzu. “One cartload of the enemy’s provisions is equivalent to 20 of one’s own.”

The lesson of that maxim — that leaders need to pay close attention to the economics of conflict, and make sure that costs are imposed more on the enemy than the home front — holds as true today as it did two and a half millennia ago. Washington doesn’t appear to be listening.

The White House’s promise to impose 10 percent tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods on top of the existing $50 billion issued this week 1 — with an option to add a further $200 billion on top of that — would put almost the entirety of the U.S.’s $526 billion of imports from China in jeopardy.

That may look like a strong move. China, with only $155 billion or so of imports from the U.S., simply doesn’t have enough trade to respond in kind. In truth, however, the big numbers conceal some deep weaknesses.

To see why, consider Sun Tzu. The initial lists put out by U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer have been surgical in targeting only goods that can avoid a widespread popular backlash against President Donald Trump’s trade policies. Most of the 1,102 products on the latest tally are intermediate goods such as storage heaters and lubricating oils, whose raised costs are unlikely ever to directly hit consumers’ hip pockets.

We've Only Just Begun
Hardly any of the tariffs announced by Beijing and Washington are in force at present

Source: International trade center, news reports, government statements, Bloomberg Opinion calculations

Note: "No announced plans" based on gap between 2017 trade figures and announced tariff numbers.

The exceptions threatened to date have tended to be rarely purchased durable goods (such as the washing machines that have risen 17 percent in price since tariffs were imposed in a separate move in January), or products such as flat-screen televisions that have become dramatically cheaper over the past decade.

In both cases, the products are ones where average Americans might be expected to initially miss the pain of rising costs — and even flat-screen TVs were removed from Lighthizer’s most recent list after consultation with industry.

In other words, Lighthizer has been ensuring that his trade armies forage on the enemy. The tariffs will hurt the revenues of Chinese exporters, as higher prices damp demand while U.S. wholesalers switch to other countries wherever substitution is possible. 2  By avoiding swathes of consumer products, meanwhile, he’s limited the risk of popular discontent.

The problem is that the U.S. is at a strategic disadvantage on this front. As we’ve written before, China’s exports to the U.S. tend to be consumer goods, while trade in the opposite direction is weighted toward raw materials and intermediate parts. That means Lighthizer is already close to or past the limit where he can raise prices on Chinese products without American voters noticing.

What are the next major categories of goods where the U.S. can impose further tariffs? Mobile phones, with $73 billion of imports from China in 2017, would be next on the list, followed by computers and accessories; furniture and mattresses; toys and games; clothing and shoes; and televisions. The six categories together amount to another $273 billion.

Such action would smack Middle America between the eyes, and Washington could be expected to do its utmost to avoid it. But the wiggle room is limited, as the Council on Foreign Relations’ Brad Setser has pointed out. While it’s possible in theory to compile the next $200 billion hit list by imposing levies on almost every traded item other than those big six consumer categories, there’s no way to reach Trump’s final total without doing so.

Empty Pockets Don't Ever Make the Grade
It's almost impossible to assemble another $200 billion -- let alone $400 billion -- of traded goods for tariffs without cutting into consumer categories like clothing, homewares and electronics


Note: Shows value of U.S. imports from China in 2017. We've included the value of two- and four-digit trade categories in which large numbers of product lines are included on existing USTR tariff lists. The lists cover more than 1,000 eight-digit trade categories which are more granular, so in practice the data may differ.

Look at how the two commanders-in-chief are arraying their armies and you should be concerned about America’s ability to withstand attack.

The careful curation of Lighthizer’s existing lists suggests a general aware of his weaknesses on the home front who is following orders from a commander oblivious to the risks. Should the trade war begin in earnest, Washington had better be ready with an explanation for the rising cost of living and decline in farm exports ahead of November’s midterm elections.

Meanwhile, China’s domestic industrial machine — which managed to offset the wrenching export declines from the 2008 financial crisis without pushing economic growth below 6 percent — is roaring in readiness. Steel production in May rose 12 percent from a year earlier, the fastest pace in five years, while thermal electricity output climbed 10 percent. That stimulus may worsen China’s economic imbalances and harm the global climate, but — combined with the relative immunity from popular anger you’d expect in an authoritarian state — should keep the nation strong as the trade battle heats up.

Heavy Metal
Output of steel and thermal power in China grew at some of the fastest rates in years in May

It may well be that the White House’s latest threat is no more than a gambit. America’s consumers had better hope so. If not, the front line of this conflict is coming to their hip pockets.

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/a ... for-your-hip-pocket

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
vip
管理员
Rank: 9Rank: 9Rank: 9


UID 2
精华 15
积分 914098
帖子 61499
福步币 12898 块
阅读权限 200
注册 2003-12-4
状态 离线
President Donald Trump’s looming trade war with China ratcheted up so quickly you might have missed it. Over the weekend, Trump engaged in a back-and-forth with the country that ultimately led him to threaten tariffs on $450 billion of Chinese imports.

“We have to,” Trump told reporters Friday. “We’ve been treated very unfairly.”

For Trump, who has declared trade wars “easy to win,” the escalating tariffs represent the fulfillment of a campaign promise to crack down on China and reduce the U.S. trade deficit to support U.S. jobs. But most economists, business leaders and trade experts on both sides of the aisle have cried foul, arguing that trade wars are a dangerous game that could hurt the economy at home and around the world.


The prospect of a trade war is particularly dangerous when it comes to China, the U.S.’ largest goods trading partner. Products from the country are integrated into global supply chains, and the U.S. sends the country billions of dollars worth agricultural products, vehicles and machinery each year.

That position — along with the authoritarian nature of its political system — gives China significant leverage to stay the course in any trade war. The country’s tariffs on $34 billion in goods announced on June 15 targeted industries in politically sensitive places: soybean farmers in Iowa, U.S. automakers in the Rust Belt and orange juice in Florida.

People in those swing states are taking notice. “If we lose trade to China, our neighbors to the south will be glad to take up that trade,” says John Heisdorffer, a soybean producer from Iowa and president of the American Soybean Association.

That’s not to say that China is blameless. Trump’s June 15 tariffs came in response to a months-long investigation that documented trade practices from forcing U.S. companies to share trade secrets to subsiding domestic industries which have been widely condemned as unfair. “China seeks to acquire the crown jewels of American technology,” says Peter Navarro, a White House trade advisor. “This is the kind of thing that needs to be addressed.”

But most economists generally say that tariffs are the wrong way to tackle the issue. The rollout of this latest set of actions was quick and decisive, leaving little opportunity for negotiation. On June 15, Trump announced tariffs on $50 billion worth of Chinese imports. Within minutes China responded in kind, targeting a range of goods from soy beans to electric vehicles, and prompting Trump three days later to order his trade office to find another $200 billion worth of Chinese goods to target. Preemptively, Trump said he would be willing to bring the total value of Chinese goods targeted with tariffs to $450 billion.


“China has a farily predictable pattern of responding immediately and with pretty stiff tariffs,” says Ron Kirk, U.S. Trade Representative under President Obama and now a partner at the law firm Gibson, Dunn and Crutcher. “Whenever you get in this tit-for-tat escalation and retaliations, it generally is not good.”

Perhaps most importantly, the fast-moving nature of the back and forth means it will be difficult to halt. Negotiations for a brokered truce with China have all but stopped — Navarro says “our phone lines are open” — and trade officials are stretched thin dealing on other fights with Canada, Mexico and a raft of European countries.

“We have a front opened up on the EU, China and NAFTA,” says Carlos Gutierrez, U.S. Secretary of Commerce under George W. Bush and chair of the Albright Stonebridge Group. “That’s pretty much the world’s economy right there.”

You may not have felt the pinch of the trade war yet, but experts say that barring big shift in direction large swathes of Americans will get hit. To understand the effects of tariffs, look no further than washing machines and solar panels. The price of laundry equipment has spiked 17% in the last three months after years of decline, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data. And more than $2.5 billion in U.S. solar projects have been scrapped thanks to the tariffs, according to a Reuters analysis.

Meanwhile, markets have responded poorly to Trump’s tariffs play, dipping repeatedly with each new tariff announcement. Even an internal report from the White House Council of Economic Advisers reported by the New York Times found that Trump’s trade agenda would hurt the U.S. economy. At the same, Trump’s tax cuts and higher spending have actually exacerbated the trade deficit, which he ostensibly hopes to reduce with his trade agenda. “Look, I have always said a trade deficit doesn’t matter,” former Trump advisor Gary Cohn said at a Washington Post event last week. “In many respects, it’s helpful to our economy.”

But Trump has remained determined to implement his trade agenda in contrast to his vacillations on other political issues. And he is counting on the getting tough on China play to deliver a win for his base and give Republicans a boost in the midterm elections.

http://time.com/5314894/donald-trump-china-trade-war/

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
uangle (小樂)
简单福步
Rank: 4
一个虚伪的人


UID 150894
积分 37410
帖子 9379
福步币 3586 块
阅读权限 120
注册 2006-11-1
来自 中国青岛
状态 离线
麻烦翻译下。。。我看不懂。。

谢谢

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
莫妮咔 (莫小猫)
论坛元老
Rank: 6Rank: 6


UID 2922525
积分 60064
帖子 6841
福步币 1 块
阅读权限 120
注册 2017-7-25
状态 在线


QUOTE:
原帖由 uangle 于 2018-6-20 12:17 发表
麻烦翻译下。。。我看不懂。。

谢谢

你可以趁机学学啊

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
uangle (小樂)
简单福步
Rank: 4
一个虚伪的人


UID 150894
积分 37410
帖子 9379
福步币 3586 块
阅读权限 120
注册 2006-11-1
来自 中国青岛
状态 离线
回复 #22 莫妮咔 的帖子


你自觉!

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
梦扶摇
论坛隐士
Rank: 7Rank: 7Rank: 7


UID 1994350
积分 312266
帖子 30189
福步币 149 块
阅读权限 150
注册 2012-7-28
状态 离线


QUOTE:
原帖由 uangle 于 2018-6-20 12:17 发表
麻烦翻译下。。。我看不懂。。

谢谢

心疼你 也心疼自己  我现在也看不懂了

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
梦扶摇
论坛隐士
Rank: 7Rank: 7Rank: 7


UID 1994350
积分 312266
帖子 30189
福步币 149 块
阅读权限 150
注册 2012-7-28
状态 离线


QUOTE:
原帖由 uangle 于 2018-6-20 12:17 发表
麻烦翻译下。。。我看不懂。。

谢谢

心疼你 也心疼自己  我现在也看不懂了

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
莫妮咔 (莫小猫)
论坛元老
Rank: 6Rank: 6


UID 2922525
积分 60064
帖子 6841
福步币 1 块
阅读权限 120
注册 2017-7-25
状态 在线
回复 #2 vip 的帖子

-总统唐纳德·特朗普指示美国贸易代表办公室就增加10%关税起草价值2000亿美金的中国出口产品的清单.
-特朗普表明:如果中国政府不降低针对美国出口产品的关税和未能就中国公司窃取美国知识产权发言,美国将实施新关税.
-毫无疑问新一轮的关税将使得美国和中国全面开始贸易战.


总统唐纳德·特朗普威胁将周一时候和中国全面升级贸易战,除非北京方面推翻其贸易措施,否则将就中国出口的许多产品加征重关税.

特朗普指示美国贸易代表办公室开始起草价值2000亿美金的中国出口产品增加10%关税,使得目前和中国对抗的贸易战相形见绌.

"因此, 今天, 我指示美国贸易代表办公室开始起草价值2000亿美金的中国出口产品增加10%关税," 特朗普说. "相关法律程序结束后,如果中国拒绝改变他现有行为并且坚持继续实施现有关税政策,这个关税将予以实施 ."

在特朗普正式宣布针对价值500亿的中国出口产品将在7月6日开始征收25%新关税,周一声明三天后发布.关税是商务部针对中国公司窃取美国知识产权行为调查后的结果.

在特朗普声明之后, 中国马上针对美国行为就价值500亿美金美国出口产品征收报复性关税并且表明其坚定的立场.

周一特朗普声明说中国的反应显示出北京无任何计划说明潜在的IP偷窃和美国要求的升级.

"现在中国的行为明显表明他决心使美国处于长期和不公平的损失, 反应了我们将近3760亿货物贸易逆差. 这是不能接受的," 特朗普说. "将在不久之后实施进一步行为促使中国改变他不公平行为,开放他的市场给美国产品,接受更多和美国之间的贸易顺差."

除了第二轮关税, 特朗普威胁将对中国实施第三波 — 就中国2000亿美金价值中国出口产品增加另外的10%关税 — 如果中国实施他们的新关税政策.

紧随特朗普声明之后, 美国股票指数狂跌. 因为 8:25 p.m. ET, S&P 500 指数下跌超过 0.5%和 纳斯达克指数下跌超过 0.65%.

这个威胁表明避免贸易战的新一轮和谈将近崩溃. 特朗普政府官员代表团和中国代表团达成的初步贸易协议将会因为针对美国关税交换中国采购美国产品而推迟.

但是, 特朗普继续加征关税的决定将导致交易崩溃和贸易战再次升级.

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
莫妮咔 (莫小猫)
论坛元老
Rank: 6Rank: 6


UID 2922525
积分 60064
帖子 6841
福步币 1 块
阅读权限 120
注册 2017-7-25
状态 在线


QUOTE:
原帖由 uangle 于 2018-6-20 13:06 发表

你自觉!

太多,太费时间了,自己看看倒是快的

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
yahongjc (国内外专业检测认证办理)
中级会员
Rank: 3Rank: 3


UID 2955528
积分 4686
帖子 164
阅读权限 40
注册 2017-10-20
来自 VX:18928804267 QQ:2880134995
状态 离线
回复 #9 H.R.Wells 的帖子

像你这样说我们中国就要白白挨打    你说这话还配做中国人吗 ?    还有没有一点点血性   习惯了做懦夫的你不要以个人想法概括全部有血性的中国人。

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
心态王 ((缦缦41徒弟))
福步货代
Rank: 4
国际快递出口


UID 2868256
积分 14391
帖子 2268
福步币 581 块
阅读权限 80
注册 2017-3-24
来自 深圳QQ1448025565
状态 离线

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
zhangdongqi1981
外贸独行侠
Rank: 4



UID 304706
积分 8347
帖子 125
阅读权限 120
注册 2007-9-11
状态 离线
只有这样,才能逼迫某些买办企业要么破产要么发展自己的技术

靠组装,靠买的是时代已经过去了。

以前某些经济学家,譬如 吴JL,茅YS这些白痴还一直叫嚣中国应该放弃发展自己的技术,放弃保护农田,应该多从国际市场上买买买。特朗普就是中国的救星啊,替中国打击了多少这类专家啊。

[ 本帖最后由 zhangdongqi1981 于 2018-6-20 15:30 编辑 ]

顶部
[提醒] 【案例】北美商超类客户挖掘
 



当前时区 GMT+8, 现在时间是 2018-9-25 15:26
沪ICP备05002584号

Powered by D1scuz!  © 2001-2020 FOBShanghai.com
Processed in 0.020997 second(s), 6 queries , Gzip enabled ,242

清除 Cookies - 联系我们 - 福步外贸网 - Archiver - 手机WAP版 - 手机客户端 RSS 订阅全部论坛 ..